It is believed that the Parliament will not be dissolved before 19 March as Najib will have to announce the results of the Government Transformation Plan (GTP) and the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) in that evening. Najib has pointed out earlier that the reason he postponed the election was because he wanted the people to evaluate the results of the GTP and ETP. Therefore, that night's event is crucial.
The Prime Minister will host the last stop of the “Janji Ditepati” (Promises Fulfilled) national tour in Pekan, Pahang on 23 March. The "Janji Ditepati" tour is the BN's platform to show its fulfilled promises and therefore, the last stop should be a perfect ending. On that night, the Prime Minister will also attend a fund raising event of the Kuantan Chong Hwa High School. International star Jackie Chan will also attend the event. Najib is expected to bring Chinese education a good news.
On 24 March, Najib is scheduled to attend the F1 Grand Prix in Sepang.
On 26 March, the Negeri Sembilan state assembly will have its term expired and be automatically dissolved. State Menteri Besar Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan has said that if the Prime Minister does not announce the dissolution of Parliament by 26 March, he will let the state assembly automatically dissolve instead of dissolving it in advance.
The Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition will be held from 26 to 30 March and the opening ceremony will be in the evening of 26 March.
The Prime Minister's schedule for the recent days will be full, including attending a grand dinner on 16 March. It is quite impossible to dissolve the Parliament on these days. However, the BN also does not want to see an automatic dissolution of the Negeri Sembilan state assembly as the Pakatan Rakyat is expected to use it to attack the BN during the election.
Therefore, the date of the dissolution of the parliament is very likely to fall between 20 to 25 March, namely after the announcement of the GTP and ETP results and before the automatic dissolution of the Negeri Sembilan state assembly.
In accordance with past practice, after the dissolution of Parliament, the Prime Minister needs a few days to meet state leaders and leaders of BN component parties to finalise the candidate list. Najib will fill his day in Pahang on 23 March with programmes and therefore, it might not have enough time to discuss on the candidate issue if the Parliament is dissolved on 21 or 22 March, while 24 March is Sunday. Therefore, Najib is very likely to have an audience with the Agong on 25 March to get his consent to dissolve the Parliament.
In addition, the military has strengthened arms to accelerate the operation of exterminating the Sulu terrorists in Sabah. Once the Sulu terrorist leader Azzimudie Kiram is annihilated and more security forces are allocated to maintain security, Sabah will then be able to join the general election.
It is believed that Pakatan Rakyat has also estimated the date of dissolving the Parliament and thus, Selangor Menteri Besar Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim said that the final decision on the dissolution of the state assembly has been made and the state government will make an announcement within this month.
After distributing the BR1M 2.0 aid and announcing the early increments for civil servants, the BN will continue creating more positive factors and of course, Pakatan Rakyat will also take some actions. However, it is unfavourable to Pakatan Rakyat as the Chinese may return to their hometowns in early April for grave visiting. Some might not return again to vote.
In short, it is not going to be another false alarm this time.
-Sin Chew Daily
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